Research Series (Economic Policy Research Centre) ISSN 2411-4499

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Import Substitution: How do increased import duties in Uganda affect trade, revenue and welfare?

This paper examines the implications of increased import duties on selected products in a production and supply constrained environment. The study examines the trade (trade creation and diversion), revenue and welfare effects using the WITS-SMART simulation model. 

African continental free trade area:  The potential revenue, trade and welfare effects for the east African Community

This study examines the likely effects of implementing the AfCFTA on the East African Community (EAC). Specifically, the study estimates the revenue, trade and welfare effects of trade liberalization under the AfCFTA and also identifies the sectors within the EAC that will react with either defensive or offensive strategies due to the continental agreement.

Uganda’s Vision of Middle Income Status: Why the growth of the middle class matters?

This paper examines why Uganda could or may not achieve lower middle income status by 2020 using the the two most recently available rounds of Uganda National Household Survey ( i.e. 2012/13 and 2016/17).

Potential productivity and economic outcomes from adopting both agricultural technology and extension

This paper examines the productivity and economic implications of adopting various technology-extension policy options in Uganda.It recommends an integrated approach to improve joint access to technologies as well as extension services, as a policy intervention package.

Income tax evasion in Uganda

This paper estimates the baseline amount of tax owed by comparing income amounts to reported on the 2015/16Uganda Revenue Authority income tax returns with similar income amounts households reported on the 2015/16 Uganda National Panel Survey

Attracting Investments Using Tax Incentives in Uganda: The Effective Tax Rates
This study examines the tax burden of various tax incentives schemes operational in Uganda by estimating the effective marginal tax rates (EMTR) and effective average tax rates (EATR). 
Financing Indoor Residual Spraying for Malaria Prevention in Uganda: Options for Cost Minimization
This report's findings indicate that 235 billion shillings (approximately 63.5 million US$) is required to finance country-wide implementation of Indoor Residual Spaying (IRS) using an Integrated District-Led (IDL) approach.
Court Actions and Boosting Domestic Revenue Mobilization in Uganda

The study analyzed how court actions particularly with respect to the operation of the Tax Appeals Tribunal (TAT), affect domestic revenue mobilisation in Uganda.

The Value Added Tax (VAT) Analysis for Uganda

This paper provides a comprehensive quantitative analysis of the gap between potential revenues and actual VAT collections, known as the compliance gap. 

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