Corti Paul is a Research Fellow at the Macroeconomic department at the Economic Policy research Centre.  His research interest is mainly in the Micro foundations of Macroeconomics by modelling the real business cycle, consumption, investment, monetary and fiscal policy, asset pricing, oil and gas, growth and the financial sector using the Dynamics Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) Model.  Beyond Macroeconomics, Mr. Lakuma is an enthusiast of Panel data and duration dependency analyses and has written extensively on employment, public finance and the politics of budgeting to that effect. Previously, Mr. Lakuma worked as a Program Manager with UMC in the East Africa Annual Conference where he oversaw many poverty alleviation and leadership development programs in Burundi, Rwanda, Kenya, South Sudan and Uganda. Prior to being named to his current position in September 2013, Mr. Lakuma received a MSc. Economics from University of Essex, United Kingdom; his dissertation involved use of Time series Econometrics to calibrate Market Power Indices to study competition in the American Oil Industry.

In his spare time, Mr. Lakuma plays basketball.

Corti Paul Lakuma: publications

Recovery in Agriculture and Service sectors improve business climate, but future business outlook is less optimistic

The Business Climate Index (BCI) improved by more than eighteen basis points from 88.72 in the July-September 2018 quarter to 107.02 in the October-December 2018 quarter. Nonetheless, perceptions about future business for January – March 2019 indicated worsening business performance.

Court Actions and Boosting Domestic Revenue Mobilization in Uganda

The study analyzed how court actions particularly with respect to the operation of the Tax Appeals Tribunal (TAT), affect domestic revenue mobilisation in Uganda.

Agriculture Sector Performance Deteriorates Drastically, but Businesses Remain Optimistic about the Future

This quarter’s performance was mainly driven by changes in Uganda’s tax policy which came into effect on 1 July 2018. The Business Climate Index (BCI) declined by 1.68 points from 90.40 in the previous quarter (April – June 2018) to 88.72 in the current quarter (July – September 2018), remaining below potential.  

Agriculture sector performs above potential but business deteriorates owing to underperformance in the manufacturing and service sectors

The Business Climate Index (BCI) declined by more than six basis points from 96.53 in the previous quarter (January - March 2018) to 90.40 in the current quarter (April - June 2018). The below potential performance was largely driven by poor performance in the manufacturing and services sectors.

Agriculture sector performance sustained, but businesses are less optimistic about the future 

This Business Climate Index covers the January to March 2018 quarter.  It is computed based on the  level of business activity, turnover, profitability, incoming new business, capacity utilisation, average costs of inputs, price of produced goods among others. 

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Corti Paul Lakuma

Paul Corti LakumaResearch Fellow

Email: plakuma@eprcug.org


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